Virsliga round 1

FK Auda vs SK Super Nova analysis

FK Auda SK Super Nova
71 ELO 50
15.3% Tilt -5.5%
892º General ELO ranking 2269º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
79%
FK Auda
14%
Draw
7%
SK Super Nova

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
FK Auda
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
7%
Win probability
SK Super Nova
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FK Auda
+1%
+9%
SK Super Nova

Points and table prediction

FK Auda
Their league position
SK Super Nova
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
14
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FK RFS
89
89
100%
Riga FC
88
88
100%
FK Auda
58
58
100%
Valmiera FC
53
53
100%
FK Liepāja
51
51
100%
FS Jelgava
40
40
100%
BFC Daugavpils
36
36
100%
FK Tukums 2000
35
35
100%
FK Metta
33
33
100%
SK Super Nova
10º
14
14
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
FK Auda
SK Super Nova
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

FK Auda
SK Super Nova
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FK Auda
FK Auda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Feb. 2023
AUD
FK Auda
0 - 3
Dynamo Kyiv
DYN
30%
24%
46%
71 82 11 0
20 Feb. 2023
AUD
FK Auda
0 - 0
Kolding IF
KOL
73%
16%
11%
71 60 11 0
16 Feb. 2023
AUD
FK Auda
1 - 1
Minai
MIN
75%
15%
10%
71 60 11 0
09 Feb. 2023
AUD
FK Auda
1 - 2
Borac Banja Luka
BBL
41%
25%
34%
71 78 7 0
07 Feb. 2023
AUD
FK Auda
1 - 5
Dnipro-1
SKD
32%
23%
45%
71 80 9 0

Matches

SK Super Nova
SK Super Nova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2023
FKE
Ekranas Panevezys
1 - 1
SK Super Nova
SUP
64%
18%
18%
51 61 10 0
29 Jan. 2023
LIE
FK Liepāja
8 - 1
SK Super Nova
SUP
81%
14%
5%
51 78 27 0
12 Nov. 2022
FSM
FK Metta
1 - 1
SK Super Nova
SUP
49%
23%
28%
51 52 1 0
06 Nov. 2022
SUP
SK Super Nova
1 - 6
Valmiera FC
VAL
6%
15%
79%
51 78 27 0
29 Oct. 2022
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
1 - 1
SK Super Nova
SUP
53%
23%
24%
51 58 7 0