FK Auda vs FK Tukums 2000 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
7º
3º
35
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
89 | 89 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
88 | 88 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Auda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FKJ
0 - 2
AUD
28%
28%
45%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 1
AUD
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
RIG
3 - 0
AUD
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 1
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 2
AUD
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
FK Tukums 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
LIE
1 - 0
FKT
65%
21%
15%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FKT
4 - 5
RIG
21%
23%
56%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
4 - 0
FKT
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FKT
3 - 2
VAL
20%
23%
58%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FSM
1 - 1
FKT
32%
24%
44%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |