New Zealand National League North Round 1

Auckland United vs Takapuna analysis

Auckland United Takapuna
47 ELO 30
7.9% Tilt -4.4%
7091º General ELO ranking 12916º
12º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
80.7%
Auckland United
12.9%
Draw
6.5%
Takapuna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.7%
Win probability
Auckland United
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.5%
Win probability
Takapuna
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Auckland United
+44%
-3%
Takapuna

Points and table prediction

Auckland United
Their league position
Takapuna
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
12
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Auckland City
54
60
100%
Eastern Suburbs
49
56
100%
Auckland United
39
43
100%
Manurewa
36
36
100%
Western Springs
29
33
100%
Hamilton Wanderers
26
30
100%
West Coast Rangers
23
26
100%
Birkenhead United
25
25
100%
Melville United
22
23
100%
Bay Olympic
10º
12
15
10º
0%
Takapuna
11º
12
15
11º
0%
Manukau United
12º
10
12
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Auckland United
Takapuna
Final Series
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Auckland United
Takapuna
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Auckland United
Auckland United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2022
AFC
Auckland United
3 - 2
Napier City Rovers
NAP
82%
12%
6%
47 28 19 0
19 Nov. 2022
BIR
Birkenhead United
2 - 0
Auckland United
AFC
55%
22%
24%
49 49 0 -2
12 Nov. 2022
AFC
Auckland United
2 - 1
Cashmere Technical
CAS
40%
22%
38%
48 49 1 +1
05 Nov. 2022
WEL
Wellington Olympic
3 - 1
Auckland United
AFC
58%
21%
21%
49 51 2 -1
29 Oct. 2022
AFC
Auckland United
3 - 2
Auckland City
AUC
20%
21%
59%
48 61 13 +1

Matches

Takapuna
Takapuna
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2022
WUF
Waiheke United
0 - 3
Takapuna
TAK
27%
21%
52%
29 21 8 0
27 Aug. 2022
TAK
Takapuna
4 - 4
Western Springs
WES
32%
21%
47%
29 35 6 0
20 Aug. 2022
MUF
Manukau United
3 - 2
Takapuna
TAK
41%
22%
37%
30 27 3 -1
13 Aug. 2022
TAK
Takapuna
2 - 4
Birkenhead United
BIR
14%
20%
66%
32 50 18 -2
06 Aug. 2022
BAO
Bay Olympic
1 - 2
Takapuna
TAK
58%
20%
22%
31 34 3 +1