Auckland City vs Wellington Phoenix Reserves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
11.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
2.8%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AUC
3 - 1
HAW
91%
7%
2%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TEA
0 - 0
AUC
41%
24%
35%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
AUC
4 - 2
HAW
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
WAI
2 - 6
AUC
16%
22%
63%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
SOU
0 - 0
AUC
11%
20%
69%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix Reserves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
WEL
0 - 1
TEA
9%
18%
72%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
HAW
0 - 2
WEL
70%
17%
13%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
WEL
3 - 4
WAI
41%
23%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
WEL
1 - 1
SOU
47%
23%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
EAS
2 - 2
WEL
81%
14%
6%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |