Auckland City vs Napier City Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
5.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BIR
2 - 2
AUC
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 0
CAS
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 2
AUC
19%
21%
61%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AUC
1 - 0
EAS
90%
8%
3%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AFC
2 - 0
AUC
16%
19%
65%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Napier City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 2
MIR
20%
20%
60%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CHR
1 - 1
NAP
60%
18%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 0
WEL
16%
20%
64%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | +3 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 1
NAP
89%
8%
3%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
NAP
3 - 1
WSU
65%
17%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |