New Zealand Premiership Round 4

Auckland City vs Hamilton Wanderers analysis

Auckland City Hamilton Wanderers
71 ELO 50
26.4% Tilt 7.2%
4539º General ELO ranking 10356º
Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
77.7%
Auckland City
14.7%
Draw
7.6%
Hamilton Wanderers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
Auckland City
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.7%
7.6%
Win probability
Hamilton Wanderers
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Auckland City
+11%
+3%
Hamilton Wanderers

ELO progression

Auckland City
Hamilton Wanderers
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Auckland City
Auckland City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Nov. 2017
AUC
Auckland City
3 - 1
Canterbury United
CAN
66%
19%
15%
70 62 8 0
29 Oct. 2017
WAI
Waitakere United
0 - 5
Auckland City
AUC
41%
25%
34%
69 63 6 +1
22 Oct. 2017
SOU
Southern United
2 - 2
Auckland City
AUC
24%
27%
50%
68 50 18 +1
15 Oct. 2017
TEA
Team Wellington
3 - 1
Auckland City
AUC
53%
22%
25%
68 65 3 0
07 May. 2017
TEA
Team Wellington
0 - 2
Auckland City
AUC
57%
20%
23%
68 68 0 0

Matches

Hamilton Wanderers
Hamilton Wanderers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Nov. 2017
EAS
Eastern Suburbs
2 - 1
Hamilton Wanderers
HAW
67%
20%
12%
51 67 16 0
29 Oct. 2017
HAW
Hamilton Wanderers
0 - 1
Hawkes Bay United
HAW
24%
25%
51%
52 66 14 -1
22 Oct. 2017
HAW
Hamilton Wanderers
1 - 4
Tasman United
TAS
33%
24%
43%
52 61 9 0
24 Jun. 2017
HAW
Hamilton Wanderers
2 - 2
Bay Olympic
BAO
77%
15%
8%
52 34 18 0
05 Jun. 2017
MAN
Manurewa
0 - 1
Hamilton Wanderers
HAW
7%
14%
79%
52 10 42 0