Auckland City vs Canterbury United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
11.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auckland City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
AUC
3 - 0
OTA
76%
15%
8%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
KAR
2 - 0
AUC
65%
19%
16%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
AUC
5 - 0
MAN
78%
14%
8%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
AUC
2 - 0
HEK
92%
6%
2%
|
69 | 31 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
WAI
1 - 3
AUC
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 1
WAI
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
OTA
1 - 0
CAN
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 0
TEA
40%
25%
36%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
HAW
3 - 0
CAN
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
5 - 0
WAI
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |