Aucas vs UT Cotopaxi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 2
AUC
25%
28%
47%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
AUC
3 - 0
DEL
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TEC
1 - 0
AUC
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
AUC
1 - 0
IMB
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
IMB
0 - 0
AUC
30%
29%
41%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
UT Cotopaxi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
UTC
2 - 2
ESP
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
DPT
4 - 1
UTC
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
UTC
1 - 0
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
LDU
1 - 0
UTC
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
UTC
2 - 0
LDU
35%
27%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |