Aucas vs Guayaquil City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
15%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
IVT
4 - 0
AUC
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
AUC
0 - 0
MAC
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
BSC
2 - 1
AUC
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2019 |
LIG
0 - 0
AUC
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
AUC
3 - 0
AME
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 1
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 2
BSC
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TEC
4 - 4
RIV
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
RIV
2 - 1
UCE
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
EME
2 - 1
RIV
66%
22%
13%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |