Aucas vs Mushuc Runa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
IVT
1 - 1
AUC
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AUC
1 - 1
IVT
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MUS
3 - 1
AUC
36%
28%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
AUC
2 - 1
UCE
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CUE
1 - 1
AUC
38%
28%
34%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mushuc Runa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 1
QUI
50%
26%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
QUI
1 - 2
MUS
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
MUS
3 - 1
AUC
36%
28%
37%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 2
MUS
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 3
LIG
29%
30%
41%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |