Aucas vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
42.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
EME
1 - 0
AUC
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
AUC
1 - 1
TEC
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
UCE
2 - 0
AUC
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
AUC
4 - 0
CUE
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 2
AUC
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
EME
1 - 0
AUC
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 1
EME
62%
21%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
DEL
3 - 1
EME
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2018 |
EME
0 - 1
RIV
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
EME
2 - 1
IVT
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |