Aucas vs Macará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CUE
2 - 1
AUC
31%
25%
45%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
AUC
1 - 0
LDU
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
AUC
1 - 0
BSC
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
TEC
1 - 1
AUC
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AUC
1 - 2
UCE
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
TEC
2 - 0
MAC
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 2
MAN
57%
24%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
CUE
1 - 1
MAC
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MAC
2 - 1
LDU
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ORE
2 - 1
MAC
35%
28%
37%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |