Primera A 1 Phase Round 14

Aucas vs Macará analysis

Aucas Macará
73 ELO 70
-5.3% Tilt -9.6%
650º General ELO ranking 668º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
54%
Aucas
25.3%
Draw
20.7%
Macará

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
Aucas
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
20.7%
Win probability
Macará
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aucas
+2%
-10%
Macará

ELO progression

Aucas
Macará
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aucas
Aucas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2004
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
0 - 0
Aucas
AUC
52%
26%
22%
73 75 2 0
21 Apr. 2004
AUC
Aucas
4 - 2
CD El Nacional
NAC
34%
28%
37%
72 78 6 +1
18 Apr. 2004
ESP
Espoli
0 - 0
Aucas
AUC
39%
27%
34%
72 65 7 0
11 Apr. 2004
AUC
Aucas
2 - 2
Dep. Quito
QUI
39%
28%
33%
72 75 3 0
04 Apr. 2004
QUI
Dep. Quito
2 - 1
Aucas
AUC
55%
24%
20%
72 75 3 0

Matches

Macará
Macará
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2004
MAC
Macará
1 - 6
Liga de Quito
LDU
25%
28%
47%
72 81 9 0
21 Apr. 2004
BSC
Barcelona SC
0 - 0
Macará
MAC
60%
23%
17%
72 79 7 0
16 Apr. 2004
QUI
Dep. Quito
1 - 1
Macará
MAC
58%
24%
18%
72 75 3 0
11 Apr. 2004
MAC
Macará
0 - 1
Deportivo Cuenca
CUE
42%
28%
30%
72 73 1 0
04 Apr. 2004
CUE
Deportivo Cuenca
2 - 2
Macará
MAC
49%
27%
24%
72 73 1 0