Aucas vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
DEL
0 - 0
AUC
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 0
ORE
60%
23%
18%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 4
AUC
25%
26%
50%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
AUC
2 - 1
BSC
42%
27%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 1
AUC
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2022 |
EME
2 - 3
IVT
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
IVT
2 - 0
CFC
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
LAN
0 - 0
IVT
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
CDL
0 - 0
IVT
8%
16%
76%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
IVT
2 - 1
LAN
43%
25%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |