Aucas vs América Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LOJ
3 - 1
AUC
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TEC
0 - 1
AUC
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 1
OLM
62%
21%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
COL
0 - 2
AUC
24%
29%
47%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
AUC
2 - 0
MAN
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
AME
1 - 1
TEC
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
OLM
1 - 0
AME
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
AME
2 - 0
COL
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MAN
1 - 0
AME
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
AME
3 - 1
IMB
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |