Regionalliga - Play Offs Promotion . Final
Global 3-3
Aubstadt vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2018 |
AMM
1 - 2
AUB
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
AUB
0 - 0
WUR
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
ELT
0 - 7
AUB
45%
23%
32%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
AUB
3 - 2
SAN
76%
16%
9%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
GRO
2 - 4
AUB
37%
25%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 4
MUN
14%
23%
63%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 1
BAY
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
BAY
2 - 3
VRG
29%
24%
47%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BAY
1 - 1
ROS
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
SCH
7 - 3
BAY
74%
15%
11%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |