Aubagne vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.9%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MOA
3 - 0
AUB
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
AUB
2 - 2
LEG
62%
21%
16%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
AUB
63%
19%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MAX
1 - 3
AUB
11%
17%
72%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 3
AUB
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SPO
1 - 1
HYE
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MOA
2 - 2
SPO
50%
26%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ANN
2 - 1
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MOA
2 - 1
SPO
47%
27%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
FCM
0 - 2
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |