Attard vs Marsaskala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
10º
5º
13
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
23 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 16 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 16 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
|
6º
|
13 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 14 |
7º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
13 | 14 |
8º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 48% |
|
Relegation
|
31% | 52% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Attard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
FUN
0 - 1
ATT
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
ATT
1 - 1
LIJ
34%
23%
43%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SAI
2 - 1
ATT
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ATT
1 - 4
QRE
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ATT
3 - 0
SWI
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Marsaskala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
VIT
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
5 - 0
MQA
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MTA
2 - 2
MAR
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
MAR
24%
22%
54%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +3 |