Oberliga Bayern North Round 7

ATSV Erlangen vs TSV Abtswind analysis

ATSV Erlangen TSV Abtswind
29 ELO 24
-1.4% Tilt 4.7%
4591º General ELO ranking 5375º
205º Country ELO ranking 260º
ELO win probability
64.3%
ATSV Erlangen
19%
Draw
16.6%
TSV Abtswind

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
ATSV Erlangen
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
16.7%
Win probability
TSV Abtswind
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ATSV Erlangen
+2%
-55%
TSV Abtswind

Points and table prediction

ATSV Erlangen
Their league position
TSV Abtswind
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
18º
12º
64
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Bamberg
78
78
100%
DJK Gebenbach
72
72
100%
Eltersdorf
71
71
100%
TSV Abtswind
64
64
100%
SV Donaustauf
61
61
100%
Ammerthal
53
53
100%
ASV Cham
49
49
100%
Jahn Regensburg II
47
47
100%
TSV Kornburg
46
46
100%
Würzburger FV
10º
45
45
10º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
11º
44
44
11º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
12º
41
41
12º
0%
Feucht SC
13º
41
41
13º
0%
DJK Bamberg
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Bayern Hof
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Grossbardorf
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Weiden
17º
28
28
17º
100%
1.FC Geesdorf
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
ATSV Erlangen
TSV Abtswind
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

ATSV Erlangen
TSV Abtswind
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ATSV Erlangen
ATSV Erlangen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2022
BAY
Bayern Hof
1 - 3
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
18%
20%
62%
29 19 10 0
03 Aug. 2022
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
2 - 0
DJK Bamberg
DJJ
49%
23%
28%
28 28 0 +1
30 Jul. 2022
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
0 - 5
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
49%
22%
29%
30 28 2 -2
23 Jul. 2022
EIN
Eintracht Bamberg
2 - 1
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
52%
21%
27%
30 30 0 0
20 Jul. 2022
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
2 - 3
Würzburger FV
WUR
68%
18%
14%
31 23 8 -1

Matches

TSV Abtswind
TSV Abtswind
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2022
TSV
TSV Abtswind
1 - 2
Eintracht Bamberg
EIN
24%
22%
55%
24 33 9 0
02 Aug. 2022
WUR
Würzburger FV
2 - 3
TSV Abtswind
TSV
53%
21%
26%
23 24 1 +1
29 Jul. 2022
TSV
TSV Abtswind
0 - 3
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
36%
23%
42%
24 27 3 -1
23 Jul. 2022
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
4 - 2
TSV Abtswind
TSV
73%
16%
11%
25 36 11 -1
20 Jul. 2022
TSV
TSV Abtswind
1 - 1
1.FC Geesdorf
FCG
43%
22%
35%
25 26 1 0