Oberliga Bayern Nord round 18

ATSV Erlangen vs ASV Neumarkt analysis

ATSV Erlangen ASV Neumarkt
33 ELO 23
1% Tilt 3.2%
4996º General ELO ranking 6230º
226º Country ELO ranking 307º
ELO win probability
66.8%
ATSV Erlangen
17.9%
Draw
15.4%
ASV Neumarkt

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
ATSV Erlangen
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
15.4%
Win probability
ASV Neumarkt
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ATSV Erlangen
+8%
-41%
ASV Neumarkt

Points and table prediction

ATSV Erlangen
Their league position
ASV Neumarkt
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
18º
12º
44
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Bamberg
78
78
100%
DJK Gebenbach
72
72
100%
Eltersdorf
71
71
100%
TSV Abtswind
64
64
100%
SV Donaustauf
61
61
100%
Ammerthal
53
53
100%
ASV Cham
49
49
100%
Jahn Regensburg II
47
47
100%
TSV Kornburg
46
46
100%
Würzburger FV
10º
45
45
10º
100%
ASV Neumarkt
11º
44
44
11º
100%
ATSV Erlangen
12º
41
41
12º
0%
Feucht SC
13º
41
41
13º
0%
DJK Bamberg
14º
36
36
14º
100%
Bayern Hof
15º
35
35
15º
100%
Grossbardorf
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Weiden
17º
28
28
17º
100%
1.FC Geesdorf
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
ATSV Erlangen
ASV Neumarkt
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

ATSV Erlangen
ASV Neumarkt
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ATSV Erlangen
ATSV Erlangen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2022
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
2 - 1
Jahn Regensburg II
JRE
58%
20%
22%
30 25 5 0
22 Oct. 2022
FCG
1.FC Geesdorf
0 - 5
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
30%
21%
48%
30 24 6 0
14 Oct. 2022
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
2 - 2
TSV Kornburg
KOR
60%
20%
21%
30 26 4 0
07 Oct. 2022
ELT
Eltersdorf
2 - 2
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
62%
19%
19%
30 36 6 0
23 Sep. 2022
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
5 - 3
SV Donaustauf
SVD
39%
23%
38%
28 31 3 +2

Matches

ASV Neumarkt
ASV Neumarkt
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Oct. 2022
EIN
Eintracht Bamberg
4 - 0
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
82%
11%
7%
24 40 16 0
22 Oct. 2022
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
0 - 1
Würzburger FV
WUR
42%
23%
35%
25 26 1 -1
14 Oct. 2022
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
4 - 1
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
73%
15%
12%
26 35 9 -1
08 Oct. 2022
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
3 - 1
ASV Neumarkt
NEU
48%
22%
30%
27 27 0 -1
24 Sep. 2022
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
1 - 2
1.FC Geesdorf
FCG
60%
19%
21%
27 23 4 0