Oberliga Bayern North Round 4

ATSV Erlangen vs DJK Gebenbach analysis

ATSV Erlangen DJK Gebenbach
55 ELO 48
-3.2% Tilt -5%
4197º General ELO ranking 5409º
191º Country ELO ranking 264º
ELO win probability
52.7%
ATSV Erlangen
23%
Draw
24.2%
DJK Gebenbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
ATSV Erlangen
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.2%
Win probability
DJK Gebenbach
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
ATSV Erlangen
+4%
-58%
DJK Gebenbach

Points and table prediction

ATSV Erlangen
Their league position
DJK Gebenbach
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
3
10º
16º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Fortuna Regensburg
13
68
56%
Eltersdorf
10º
9
60
22%
ASV Cham
10
58
14.5%
Ingolstadt 04 II
11º
7
58
11.5%
Bayern Hof
14
53
10%
ATSV Erlangen
11
53
10.5%
TSV Kornburg
9
48
11%
ASV Neumarkt
13
48
9.5%
Neudrossenfeld
13
48
13.5%
Jahn Regensburg II
14º
5
47
10º
11.5%
DJK Gebenbach
15º
3
41
11º
13%
Weiden
13º
6
39
12º
13%
Eintracht Bamberg
9
39
13º
16%
FSV Stadeln
12
32
14º
23.5%
Würzburger FV
16º
3
29
15º
26.5%
FC Coburg
12º
7
20
16º
55%
SC Großschwarzenlohe
17º
2
15
17º
74%
Expected probabilities
ATSV Erlangen
DJK Gebenbach
Promotion
2% 0%
Promotion play-offs
8.5% 1%
Mid-table
87% 73.5%
Relegation
2.5% 25.5%

ELO progression

ATSV Erlangen
DJK Gebenbach
Eltersdorf
Ingolstadt 04 II
TSV Kornburg
Fortuna Regensburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

ATSV Erlangen
ATSV Erlangen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Jul. 2025
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
1 - 1
Würzburger FV
WUR
59%
22%
19%
54 48 6 0
22 Jul. 2025
NEU
Neudrossenfeld
4 - 5
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
37%
27%
36%
53 51 2 +1
21 Jun. 2025
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
0 - 6
Bayreuth SpVgg
BAY
19%
21%
60%
53 65 12 0
17 May. 2025
ATS
ATSV Erlangen
6 - 1
FC Eintracht Münchberg
FCE
76%
16%
8%
53 36 17 0
09 May. 2025
ELT
Eltersdorf
1 - 0
ATSV Erlangen
ATS
60%
24%
16%
53 63 10 0

Matches

DJK Gebenbach
DJK Gebenbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jul. 2025
JRE
Jahn Regensburg II
5 - 1
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
52%
22%
26%
49 52 3 0
17 May. 2025
DJK
DJK Gebenbach
2 - 2
TSV Kornburg
KOR
43%
23%
34%
49 51 2 0
10 May. 2025
NEU
ASV Neumarkt
0 - 3
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
38%
24%
38%
48 47 1 +1
03 May. 2025
AMM
Ammerthal
5 - 1
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
35%
24%
42%
49 47 2 -1
26 Apr. 2025
FCE
FC Eintracht Münchberg
3 - 2
DJK Gebenbach
DJK
12%
18%
70%
49 34 15 0