Atouguiense vs União da Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
70.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atouguiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
NAD
2 - 2
ATO
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ATO
1 - 1
OBI
10%
16%
74%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
ALF
3 - 1
ATO
46%
22%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ATO
1 - 3
MAC
10%
17%
73%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
BOM
1 - 3
ATO
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
União da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
USE
0 - 1
MAC
40%
23%
37%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
NAD
2 - 1
USE
12%
18%
70%
|
27 | 12 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
USE
0 - 0
BOM
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
OBI
4 - 2
USE
40%
23%
37%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MIR
0 - 7
USE
10%
17%
74%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | +1 |