Liga M3 Malasia Regular season Round 11

Armed Forces vs Sarawak FA analysis

Armed Forces Sarawak FA
39 ELO 39
14.5% Tilt 9.5%
8110º General ELO ranking 24207º
24º Country ELO ranking 46º
ELO win probability
40.9%
Armed Forces
21.3%
Draw
37.8%
Sarawak FA

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
Armed Forces
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
37.8%
Win probability
Sarawak FA
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Armed Forces
-28%
-52%
Sarawak FA

ELO progression

Armed Forces
Sarawak FA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Armed Forces
Armed Forces
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jun. 2023
ATM
Armed Forces
1 - 0
Melaka
MEL
90%
7%
3%
37 19 18 0
10 Jun. 2023
PIB
PIB
1 - 0
Armed Forces
ATM
48%
21%
31%
38 39 1 -1
03 Jun. 2023
UFC
Ultimate
0 - 6
Armed Forces
ATM
16%
17%
67%
37 22 15 +1
27 May. 2023
ATM
Armed Forces
3 - 1
BRM
BRM
35%
21%
44%
34 43 9 +3
13 May. 2023
BTF
Bukit Tambun
2 - 1
Armed Forces
ATM
59%
19%
21%
35 41 6 -1

Matches

Sarawak FA
Sarawak FA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jun. 2023
IFC
Imigresen
5 - 0
Sarawak FA
SAR
54%
22%
24%
41 47 6 0
10 Jun. 2023
SAR
Sarawak FA
0 - 4
Manjung City
MAN
48%
25%
28%
43 43 0 -2
27 May. 2023
KSR
KSR Sains
3 - 2
Sarawak FA
SAR
32%
24%
45%
44 39 5 -1
13 May. 2023
PUF
Perlis United
1 - 0
Sarawak FA
SAR
30%
23%
47%
45 39 6 -1
06 May. 2023
SAR
Sarawak FA
4 - 1
Ultimate
UFC
80%
13%
7%
45 26 19 0