Copa Brasil Sub 17 Final Stages Last 16
Global 3-4
Athletico PR U17 vs São Paulo U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
23.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico PR U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
7 - 0
COS
85%
10%
5%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
FLA
4 - 0
ATH
52%
23%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 2
FLA
48%
23%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
ATH
3 - 2
SAN
77%
14%
9%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
CRU
0 - 1
ATH
23%
23%
55%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
SPA
4 - 1
PST
85%
10%
5%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
PAL
3 - 0
SPA
75%
15%
10%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
SPA
2 - 2
FLA
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
FLA
1 - 3
SPA
67%
18%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
SPA
4 - 1
INT
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |