Atl. Tucumán vs Unión Santa Fe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
CAI
0 - 4
ATT
40%
28%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
ATT
1 - 0
CHA
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
IRV
1 - 1
ATT
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
ATT
1 - 0
AND
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
INS
0 - 2
ATT
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
CAU
0 - 0
RAF
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CAI
3 - 0
CAU
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
CAU
1 - 0
ALM
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
CHA
4 - 2
CAU
58%
23%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CAU
2 - 2
SMA
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |