Atl. Tucumán vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 0
ATT
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
ATT
2 - 1
GIM
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
ATT
3 - 2
SPB
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CDN
1 - 1
ATT
46%
29%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
ATT
0 - 1
ALM
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
FER
2 - 1
ALD
37%
31%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
BUC
0 - 0
FER
43%
29%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
BRO
2 - 3
FER
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
FER
0 - 0
PAT
32%
33%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
INS
0 - 0
FER
54%
26%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |