Atl. Tucumán vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
PAT
2 - 1
ATT
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
IND
1 - 2
ATT
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ATT
1 - 1
CHA
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
IND
2 - 0
ATT
59%
24%
18%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
VEL
2 - 0
ATT
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 0
TIG
46%
28%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
ARG
1 - 2
BEL
44%
27%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 0
SMA
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
DFR
1 - 1
BEL
17%
23%
60%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
BAN
2 - 1
BEL
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |