Atlético Sorocaba vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 0
POR
38%
24%
38%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
POR
2 - 3
ATL
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
JUV
3 - 2
ATL
49%
23%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 2
COR
14%
21%
66%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
RIO
1 - 0
JUV
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
AME
1 - 0
RIO
64%
20%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
COR
2 - 1
RIO
89%
9%
3%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
RIO
1 - 2
UNI
35%
24%
40%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 1978 |
VNG
2 - 1
RIO
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -8 |