Paulista A2 Round 5

Atlético Sorocaba vs Noroeste analysis

Atlético Sorocaba Noroeste
58 ELO 59
1.8% Tilt 1.2%
23102º General ELO ranking 3309º
699º Country ELO ranking 89º
ELO win probability
43.9%
Atlético Sorocaba
25.2%
Draw
30.9%
Noroeste

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
Atlético Sorocaba
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.9%
Win probability
Noroeste
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Atlético Sorocaba
Noroeste
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atlético Sorocaba
Atlético Sorocaba
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2012
SAO
São Bernardo FC
1 - 2
Atlético Sorocaba
ATL
46%
23%
31%
56 56 0 0
01 Feb. 2012
ATL
Atlético Sorocaba
1 - 2
Audax São Paulo
AUD
43%
24%
33%
57 60 3 -1
29 Jan. 2012
ATL
Atlético Sorocaba
2 - 0
Ferroviária
FER
52%
23%
25%
56 54 2 +1
25 Jan. 2012
SEP
Palmeiras II
4 - 2
Atlético Sorocaba
ATL
30%
24%
46%
57 48 9 -1
01 May. 2011
XVD
XV de Piracicaba
3 - 1
Atlético Sorocaba
ATL
57%
22%
21%
58 63 5 -1

Matches

Noroeste
Noroeste
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2012
NOR
Noroeste
1 - 0
Ferroviária
FER
55%
23%
22%
59 54 5 0
01 Feb. 2012
PEN
Penapolense
1 - 1
Noroeste
NOR
45%
24%
31%
59 57 2 0
29 Jan. 2012
NOR
Noroeste
3 - 2
Velo Clube
VEL
54%
23%
24%
58 54 4 +1
25 Jan. 2012
AME
América SP
2 - 2
Noroeste
NOR
37%
25%
38%
58 52 6 0
17 Apr. 2011
ITU
Ituano
2 - 0
Noroeste
NOR
41%
26%
33%
60 55 5 -2