Atlético Sorocaba vs Marília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
SAO
4 - 1
ATL
96%
4%
1%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
ATL
2 - 2
UNI
30%
24%
46%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
ATL
0 - 1
SAN
3%
11%
86%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
PAU
2 - 1
ATL
78%
14%
8%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
ATL
0 - 1
COR
15%
23%
62%
|
55 | 82 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Marília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 2
ITU
37%
24%
39%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
POR
1 - 1
MAR
52%
23%
26%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
AME
4 - 2
MAR
49%
23%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 3
SAN
25%
24%
51%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2005 |
SAO
2 - 0
MAR
87%
10%
3%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |