Atlético Roraima vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
72.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Roraima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 3
ARO
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
BAR
3 - 2
ARO
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2005 |
ARO
1 - 1
SAO
18%
21%
62%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
ARO
4 - 4
BAR
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
SPO
4 - 0
ARO
85%
12%
4%
|
33 | 70 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
NAU
2 - 1
SET
90%
8%
3%
|
76 | 26 | 50 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
LIM
0 - 4
NAU
9%
17%
75%
|
76 | 24 | 52 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
NAU
5 - 2
SER
88%
9%
4%
|
76 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
LIM
2 - 1
NAU
9%
17%
75%
|
76 | 23 | 53 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
NAU
0 - 0
POR
89%
8%
3%
|
76 | 40 | 36 | 0 |