Atletico Rafaela vs Indep. Rivadavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
20.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
AND
3 - 0
RAF
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
RAF
2 - 0
INS
54%
25%
22%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2009 |
BEL
2 - 1
RAF
43%
29%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
RAF
1 - 1
ALB
58%
23%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
DYJ
0 - 1
RAF
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Indep. Rivadavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
IRV
3 - 1
ALM
53%
26%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
SMA
0 - 2
IRV
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
IRV
1 - 2
PLA
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
OLI
3 - 1
IRV
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
IRV
1 - 3
TAL
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |