Atletico Rafaela vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NOB
4 - 1
RAF
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
RAF
1 - 0
BOC
50%
26%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LAN
0 - 3
RAF
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
RAF
1 - 1
ALB
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 2
RAF
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
GLP
2 - 2
BEL
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 1
NOB
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
BOC
2 - 3
BEL
47%
27%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 2
LAN
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 1
CEN
47%
28%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |