Atlético Progreso vs Concepción FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
73%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CEN
1 - 0
PRO
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 1
SAA
48%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 1
PRO
77%
15%
8%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
PRO
1 - 1
AGU
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BVT
3 - 1
PRO
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
SAA
1 - 4
CON
12%
17%
71%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
AGU
3 - 3
CON
14%
18%
68%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CON
0 - 2
AMA
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
ABL
2 - 2
CON
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CON
1 - 2
CEN
57%
23%
19%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |