Atlético Progreso vs La Merced Salta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
YPF
1 - 2
PRO
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ANR
1 - 1
PRO
23%
21%
55%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
SAA
1 - 2
PRO
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 1
SPO
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
AGU
2 - 1
PRO
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
La Merced Salta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
LMS
0 - 0
ABO
65%
18%
17%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
LMS
0 - 5
GLP
37%
22%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -2 |