A. Peñafiel vs Navarrés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+420%
+838%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Peñafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ATO
2 - 1
ATL
78%
13%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 1
MIG
27%
22%
51%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
RAC
1 - 0
ATL
45%
23%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ATL
1 - 1
BOS
49%
22%
29%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
RAC
3 - 1
ATL
54%
21%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Navarrés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
CEC
50%
22%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CEC
3 - 3
UDS
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
MED
0 - 1
CEC
73%
16%
12%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CEC
1 - 1
PAR
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ATO
3 - 2
CEC
67%
17%
16%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |