A. Peñafiel vs M. Olmedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+129%
-104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Peñafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
ATL
54%
22%
24%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ATL
2 - 0
ATO
11%
15%
74%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 4
UNI
17%
21%
61%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CEC
4 - 0
ATL
71%
16%
13%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MED
5 - 0
ATL
80%
13%
8%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
M. Olmedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MIG
0 - 2
MED
22%
21%
57%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PED
2 - 1
MIG
78%
14%
9%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MIG
2 - 1
RAC
41%
24%
35%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MIG
2 - 3
VIL
47%
23%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
MIG
1 - 1
BOE
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |