Athletico Paranaense vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FOZ
1 - 0
ATP
10%
21%
69%
|
80 | 41 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
ATP
2 - 0
COT
52%
27%
21%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ATP
0 - 0
TCW
81%
15%
4%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 1
ATP
47%
27%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
ATP
3 - 3
DEP
39%
26%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
COL
2 - 0
UCO
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
UCO
2 - 3
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SWA
3 - 0
UCO
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
EVE
2 - 1
UCO
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 0
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |