Athletico Paranaense vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2018 |
SPO
1 - 0
ATP
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
AMF
3 - 1
ATP
36%
31%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
ATP
2 - 0
SAN
39%
26%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 0
ATP
26%
31%
43%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
FLU
2 - 0
ATP
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
SCI
49%
26%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
PAL
3 - 1
SAO
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
SAO
3 - 2
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2018 |
AMF
1 - 3
SAO
32%
30%
39%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |