Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Athletico Paranaense vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
40.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
BOT
2 - 0
ATP
37%
25%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2005 |
CCP
2 - 1
ATP
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ATP
1 - 3
SCI
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
ATP
2 - 1
CCP
63%
22%
16%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ATP
1 - 2
COR
60%
22%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAN
27%
23%
50%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 0
UCH
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 0
ATM
70%
17%
12%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
UCH
2 - 1
SAN
22%
23%
54%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
FLA
2 - 1
SAN
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |