Athletico Paranaense vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2000 |
EME
0 - 0
ATP
31%
23%
47%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
ATP
2 - 1
ALI
80%
13%
7%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
1 - 3
ATP
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2000 |
ATP
1 - 0
EME
81%
12%
7%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2000 |
ALI
0 - 3
ATP
30%
23%
47%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
ALI
2 - 2
NAC
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
1 - 3
ATP
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2000 |
NAC
2 - 0
ALI
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2000 |
EME
0 - 2
NAC
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |