Athletico Paranaense vs J. Malucelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 2
ATP
12%
22%
67%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ATP
1 - 0
GRE
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
OPE
0 - 2
ATP
16%
24%
61%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 1
ATP
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
SAN
5 - 1
ATP
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
J. Malucelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
JMA
1 - 0
OPE
45%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
JMA
3 - 2
RIO
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PAR
4 - 1
JMA
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
JMA
2 - 1
FOZ
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
FOZ
3 - 1
JMA
26%
26%
48%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |