Athletico Paranaense vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
ATP
3 - 0
RIO
89%
9%
2%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
ATP
3 - 0
BOC
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
LON
4 - 1
ATP
32%
29%
40%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ATP
2 - 1
FOZ
90%
8%
2%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ATP
3 - 0
OPE
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 2
JWI
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
EQU
0 - 0
TOL
29%
27%
45%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 1
NAC
34%
29%
37%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
TOL
1 - 0
UNI
56%
25%
19%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
HUI
1 - 5
TOL
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |