Athletico Paranaense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
SCI
4 - 1
ATP
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2010 |
ATP
2 - 1
ATL
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
ATM
3 - 1
ATP
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
ATP
2 - 2
GUA
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
COR
2 - 1
ATP
62%
22%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2010 |
BOT
1 - 1
VAS
61%
21%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2010 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BOT
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
BOT
3 - 0
GOI
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 2
BOT
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
BOT
3 - 3
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |