Atlético Paraná vs Sportivo Estudiantes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CDN
0 - 2
PAR
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
SMA
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 2
PAR
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 1
CHI
21%
27%
51%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GIM
2 - 1
PAR
58%
26%
17%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 1
DAL
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
DHA
2 - 2
CSE
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 1
CHA
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
INS
1 - 2
CSE
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 2
ARG
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |