Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
8º
6º
55
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Ottawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
ATO
0 - 0
FOR
43%
28%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 3
ATO
33%
28%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PAC
0 - 1
ATO
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
ATO
3 - 3
YOR
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 0
CAV
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAC
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
YOR
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 2
CAV
26%
27%
48%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CAV
3 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ATO
1 - 0
CAV
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |