At. Nacional vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
HUI
0 - 1
NAC
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
ENV
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 2
BOT
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MIL
0 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAL
3 - 1
JUN
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
JUN
0 - 0
PAT
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 0
JAG
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 0
JUN
15%
27%
58%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
JUN
2 - 1
COR
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | +1 |