At. Nacional vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
JAG
1 - 1
NAC
24%
24%
52%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
1 - 1
NAC
16%
23%
61%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
TOL
1 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
IND
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
5 - 0
MIL
54%
24%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
AGU
1 - 2
ENV
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ENV
2 - 2
CHI
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 1
ENV
36%
25%
39%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
EQU
0 - 1
ENV
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 1
ENV
38%
25%
37%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |