At. Nacional vs Deportes Quindío analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
TOL
3 - 0
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
NAC
3 - 1
EQU
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
PER
0 - 0
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
ENV
65%
22%
14%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
MIL
54%
25%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Quindío
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PER
0 - 0
QUI
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
QUI
3 - 2
ENV
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 1
QUI
47%
26%
28%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 0
COR
63%
23%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
AME
1 - 1
QUI
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |