At. Nacional vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
17.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1977 |
NAC
3 - 1
OPE
57%
20%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
CAL
3 - 1
NAC
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
BOL
3 - 0
NAC
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1977 |
OPE
4 - 0
NAC
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1977 |
NAC
0 - 3
CAL
56%
20%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1977 |
CAL
3 - 0
BOL
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
OPE
0 - 0
BOL
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
BOL
3 - 0
NAC
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1977 |
BOL
3 - 0
CAL
50%
21%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
BOL
1 - 0
OPE
62%
19%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |